Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.50 (league 1.49) 1.04 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.5% 34.1% 48.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
22.3%
0 - 0
21.4%
0 - 2
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Galapagar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Móstoles 0 21.4% 22.3% 11.6% 4.0% 1.0% 0.2%
1 10.7% 11.2% 5.8% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 2.7% 2.8% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMóstolesGalapagar
Played55
Form53%60%
Attack56%44%
Defense44%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Móstoles Galapagar
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins50%33%40%67%0%40%
Draws0%67%40%33%100%60%
Loses50%0%20%0%0%0%

Form: Móstoles: DLWWD • Galapagar: WDWDD

League goals

Metric Móstoles Galapagar
HATHAT
GF total369617
GF avg1.52.01.82.00.51.4
GA total549415
GA avg2.51.31.81.30.51.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMóstolesGalapagar
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%100%80%80%
1.540%60%60%20%
2.540%20%0%0%
3.520%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMóstolesGalapagar
HATHAT
Clean sheets000011
Failed to score101011

Penalties

MetricMóstolesGalapagar
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricMóstolesGalapagar
Wins21
Draws11
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-22-42-1
Biggest losses0-3
Goals For3421
Goals Against3221

Model comparison

MetricMóstolesGalapagar
Form47%53%
Att56%44%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution33%67%
H2h80%20%
Goals67%33%
Total53.2%46.8%

Advice: Double chance : Móstoles or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.14 @ 1xBet
Draw3.23 @ Pinnacle
Away3.60 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.26 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.67 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.97 @ Marathonbet
No1.78 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Móstoles = 0.50 (league 1.49), Galapagar = 1.04 (league 1.20)

Galapagar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Móstoles 0 21.4% 22.3% 11.6% 4.0% 1.0% 0.2%
1 10.7% 11.2% 5.8% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 2.7% 2.8% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.5% · Draw 34.1% · Away win 48.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1