Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 11:00 • Hill Dickinson Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.14 (league 1.76) 4.77 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
0.2% 1.3% 64.2%
best score tips
0 - 4
15.9%
0 - 5
15.1%
0 - 3
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Manchester United W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Everton W 0 0.7% 3.5% 8.4% 13.3% 15.9% 15.1%
1 0.1% 0.5% 1.2% 1.9% 2.3% 2.2%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEverton WManchester United W
Played55
Form27%73%
Attack55%100%
Defense36%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.212 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.42 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Everton W Manchester United W
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins0%33%20%33%100%60%
Draws0%33%20%67%0%40%
Loses100%33%60%0%0%0%

Form: Everton W: WLLLD • Manchester United W: WWDWD

League goals

Metric Everton W Manchester United W
HATHAT
GF total1565712
GF avg0.51.71.21.73.52.4
GA total437112
GA avg2.01.01.40.30.50.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEverton WManchester United W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%100%80%40%
1.520%40%60%0%
2.520%0%40%0%
3.520%0%40%0%
4.50%0%20%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEverton WManchester United W
HATHAT
Clean sheets000213
Failed to score112101

Penalties

MetricEverton WManchester United W
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricEverton WManchester United W
Wins12
Draws01
Losses30

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-44-01-5
Biggest losses0-21-0
Goals For1445
Goals Against2111

Model comparison

MetricEverton WManchester United W
Form27%73%
Att33%67%
Def22%78%
Poisson Distribution4%96%
H2h0%100%
Goals6%94%
Total18.4%81.6%

Advice: Winner : Manchester United W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home10.76 @ Pinnacle
Draw5.50 @ Bet365
Away1.33 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.74 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.15 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Bet365
No1.75 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Everton W = 0.14 (league 1.76), Manchester United W = 4.77 (league 1.47)

Manchester United W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Everton W 0 0.7% 3.5% 8.4% 13.3% 15.9% 15.1%
1 0.1% 0.5% 1.2% 1.9% 2.3% 2.2%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.2% · Draw 1.3% · Away win 64.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1