Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadio Nicola Tubaldi
Expected Goals
0.16 (league 1.31)
3.32 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 0.7% | 5.0% | 82.4% |
best score tips
0 - 3
18.8%
0 - 2
17.0%
0 - 4
15.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Ostia Mare | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Recanatese | 0 | 3.1% | 10.3% | 17.0% | 18.8% | 15.6% | 10.3% |
| 1 | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | |
| 2 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Recanatese | Ostia Mare |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 100% |
| Attack | 50% | 83% |
| Defense | 33% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
75%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Recanatese | Ostia Mare | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 0% | 33% | 17% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Draws | 33% | 0% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 67% | 67% | 67% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Recanatese: LWDLLL • Ostia Mare: WWWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Recanatese | Ostia Mare | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 7 | 5 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GA avg | 2.3 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Recanatese | Ostia Mare | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 100% | 100% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 17% | 67% | 67% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 17% | 17% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 17% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Recanatese | Ostia Mare | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Recanatese | Ostia Mare |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Recanatese | Ostia Mare |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 6 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-4 | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 2-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Recanatese | Ostia Mare |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 21% | 79% |
| Att | 38% | 63% |
| Def | 27% | 73% |
| Poisson Distribution | 7% | 93% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 23.3% | 77.0% |
Advice: Winner : Ostia Mare
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Recanatese = 0.16 (league 1.31), Ostia Mare = 3.32 (league 1.18)
| Ostia Mare | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Recanatese | 0 | 3.1% | 10.3% | 17.0% | 18.8% | 15.6% | 10.3% |
| 1 | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | |
| 2 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.7% · Draw 5.0% · Away win 82.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1