Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 14:00 • Dietmar-Hopp Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.08 (league 1.86) 0.17 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.0% 34.2% 5.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
31.1%
0 - 0
28.8%
2 - 0
16.7%
Score & goals probability table
Bayer Leverkusen W
0 1 2 3 4 5
1899 Hoffenheim W 0 28.8% 4.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 31.1% 5.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.7% 2.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric1899 Hoffenheim WBayer Leverkusen W
Played54
Form67%75%
Attack81%38%
Defense69%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.66 | 1.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric 1899 Hoffenheim W Bayer Leverkusen W
HATHAT
Played235224
Wins50%67%60%100%50%75%
Draws50%0%20%0%0%0%
Loses0%33%20%0%50%25%

Form: 1899 Hoffenheim W: WWLDW • Bayer Leverkusen W: LWWW

League goals

Metric 1899 Hoffenheim W Bayer Leverkusen W
HATHAT
GF total4913516
GF avg2.03.02.62.50.51.5
GA total145325
GA avg0.51.31.01.51.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line1899 Hoffenheim WBayer Leverkusen W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%80%75%75%
1.560%20%50%50%
2.560%0%25%0%
3.540%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric1899 Hoffenheim WBayer Leverkusen W
HATHAT
Clean sheets101011
Failed to score000011

Penalties

Metric1899 Hoffenheim WBayer Leverkusen W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

Metric1899 Hoffenheim WBayer Leverkusen W
Wins20
Draws10
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-43-20-1
Biggest losses—2-1—2-0
Goals For3431
Goals Against1222

Model comparison

Metric1899 Hoffenheim WBayer Leverkusen W
Form53%47%
Att68%32%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution88%12%
H2h71%29%
Goals58%42%
Total64.7%35.3%

Advice: Double chance : 1899 Hoffenheim W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.15 @ 10Bet
Draw3.67 @ Pinnacle
Away3.09 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.15 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.59 @ Pinnacle
No2.32 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): 1899 Hoffenheim W = 1.08 (league 1.86), Bayer Leverkusen W = 0.17 (league 1.50)

Bayer Leverkusen W
0 1 2 3 4 5
1899 Hoffenheim W 0 28.8% 4.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 31.1% 5.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.7% 2.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.0% · Draw 34.2% · Away win 5.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1