Mon, Oct 13 2025 • 14:00 • Estadio El Fortin
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.56 (league 1.31) 0.83 (league 0.73)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.1% 25.5% 19.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.4%
1 - 1
11.9%
2 - 0
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
Guillermo Brown
0 1 2 3 4 5
Villa Mitre 0 9.2% 7.6% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.4% 11.9% 4.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.2% 9.2% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.8% 4.8% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.3% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVilla MitreGuillermo Brown
Played55
Form53%100%
Attack14%100%
Defense79%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.414 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Villa Mitre Guillermo Brown
HATHAT
Played131427151328
Wins77%14%44%60%31%46%
Draws8%50%30%7%31%18%
Loses15%36%26%33%38%36%

Form: Villa Mitre: DWDLWWWLWWDWDWLWWDLLLDDWDWL • Guillermo Brown: WLLWWLLDLLLLLWWDWDWLWDDWWWWW

League goals

Metric Villa Mitre Guillermo Brown
HATHAT
GF total16925221537
GF avg1.20.60.91.51.21.3
GA total61117132235
GA avg0.50.80.60.91.71.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVilla MitreGuillermo Brown
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%44%68%68%
1.522%15%36%29%
2.57%4%18%18%
3.50%0%11%11%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVilla MitreGuillermo Brown
HATHAT
Clean sheets9615639
Failed to score2810369

Penalties

MetricVilla MitreGuillermo Brown
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricVilla MitreGuillermo Brown
Wins32
Draws22
Losses35

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-34-13-4
Biggest losses0-23-01-44-0
Goals For3344
Goals Against2344

Model comparison

MetricVilla MitreGuillermo Brown
Form35%65%
Att13%88%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h33%67%
Goals33%67%
Total40.0%60.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Guillermo Brown

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.44 @ William Hill
Draw4.50 @ Bet365
Away7.50 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.67 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.62 @ Bet365
No1.55 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Villa Mitre = 1.56 (league 1.31), Guillermo Brown = 0.83 (league 0.73)

Guillermo Brown
0 1 2 3 4 5
Villa Mitre 0 9.2% 7.6% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.4% 11.9% 4.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.2% 9.2% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.8% 4.8% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.3% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.1% · Draw 25.5% · Away win 19.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1