Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 10:00 •
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera
Expected Goals
4.88 (league 1.52)
0.18 (league 1.69)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 62.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
best score tips
4 - 0
15.0%
5 - 0
14.7%
3 - 0
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Pogon Tczew W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pogon Szczecin W | 0 | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.3% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 15.0% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 14.7% | 2.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Pogon Szczecin W | Pogon Tczew W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 7% |
| Attack | 70% | 10% |
| Defense | 40% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 1 | 0.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 14 | 2.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
94%
FT probability
2.5+
66%
FT probability
3.5+
47%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Pogon Szczecin W | Pogon Tczew W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 50% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 0% | 14% |
| Loses | 25% | 25% | 25% | 75% | 100% | 86% |
Form: Pogon Szczecin W: WDWWDWLL • Pogon Tczew W: LLLLLLD
League goals
| Metric | Pogon Szczecin W | Pogon Tczew W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 7 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 |
| GA total | 4 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 20 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 3.7 | 2.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Pogon Szczecin W | Pogon Tczew W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 63% | 63% | 29% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 38% | 14% | 57% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 0% | 0% | 57% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 0% | 0% | 29% |
| 4.5 | 13% | 0% | 0% | 29% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Pogon Szczecin W | Pogon Tczew W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Pogon Szczecin W | Pogon Tczew W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Pogon Szczecin W | Pogon Tczew W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 1-3 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-1 | 2-5 | 7-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Pogon Szczecin W | Pogon Tczew W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 88% | 13% |
| Att | 88% | 13% |
| Def | 70% | 30% |
| Poisson Distribution | 96% | 4% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 93% | 7% |
| Total | 87.0% | 13.4% |
Advice: Winner : Pogon Szczecin W
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Pogon Szczecin W = 4.88 (league 1.52), Pogon Tczew W = 0.18 (league 1.69)
| Pogon Tczew W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pogon Szczecin W | 0 | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.3% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 15.0% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 14.7% | 2.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.2% · Draw 1.3% · Away win 0.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1