Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 10:30 •
Campo Mirko Fersini
Expected Goals
2.29 (league 1.75)
0.64 (league 1.56)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 71.7% | 16.6% | 8.8% |
best score tips
2 - 0
14.0%
1 - 0
12.2%
3 - 0
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Genoa W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lazio W | 0 | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.2% | 7.8% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.0% | 9.0% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.7% | 6.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lazio W | Genoa W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 1 | 1 |
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Attack | 17% | 8% |
| Defense | 92% | 83% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
43%
FT probability
2.5+
30%
FT probability
3.5+
21%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lazio W | Genoa W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Wins | — | 100% | 100% | 0% | — | 0% |
| Draws | — | 0% | 0% | 0% | — | 0% |
| Loses | — | 0% | 0% | 100% | — | 100% |
Form: Lazio W: W • Genoa W: L
League goals
| Metric | Lazio W | Genoa W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lazio W | Genoa W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 100% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lazio W | Genoa W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lazio W | Genoa W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lazio W | Genoa W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-2 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 1-2 | — |
| Goals For | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lazio W | Genoa W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 0% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 67.0% | 33.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Lazio W or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Lazio W = 2.29 (league 1.75), Genoa W = 0.64 (league 1.56)
| Genoa W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lazio W | 0 | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.2% | 7.8% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.0% | 9.0% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.7% | 6.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.7% · Draw 16.6% · Away win 8.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1