Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 11:00 • Stadshagens IP
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.72 (league 1.88) 2.44 (league 1.42)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.2% 19.2% 50.0%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.0%
2 - 2
6.9%
1 - 1
6.6%
Score & goals probability table
Vasalund
0 1 2 3 4 5
Karlberg 0 1.6% 3.8% 4.6% 3.8% 2.3% 1.1%
1 2.7% 6.6% 8.0% 6.5% 4.0% 1.9%
2 2.3% 5.6% 6.9% 5.6% 3.4% 1.7%
3 1.3% 3.2% 3.9% 3.2% 2.0% 1.0%
4 0.6% 1.4% 1.7% 1.4% 0.8% 0.4%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKarlbergVasalund
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack71%76%
Defense53%59%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.413 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

71%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Karlberg Vasalund
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins33%46%40%62%50%56%
Draws33%15%24%23%8%16%
Loses33%38%36%15%42%28%

Form: Karlberg: LWWDWLWLDWDLDWLDLLLWWLWWD • Vasalund: WLWWDLWWWWLLWDWDWLWWWLWLD

League goals

Metric Karlberg Vasalund
HATHAT
GF total212142312758
GF avg1.81.61.72.42.32.3
GA total181937112233
GA avg1.51.51.50.81.81.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKarlbergVasalund
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.584%80%88%64%
1.548%40%64%32%
2.524%20%40%24%
3.512%8%24%8%
4.50%0%12%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKarlbergVasalund
HATHAT
Clean sheets145549
Failed to score224123

Penalties

MetricKarlbergVasalund
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total04

Streaks

MetricKarlbergVasalund
Wins24
Draws11
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-12-46-00-5
Biggest losses1-34-21-35-1
Goals For4465
Goals Against3435

Model comparison

MetricKarlbergVasalund
Form59%41%
Att48%52%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h40%60%
Goals45%55%
Total46.7%53.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Vasalund and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.50 @ Unibet
Draw3.99 @ Pinnacle
Away1.95 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.74 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.52 @ 188Bet
No2.80 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Karlberg = 1.72 (league 1.88), Vasalund = 2.44 (league 1.42)

Vasalund
0 1 2 3 4 5
Karlberg 0 1.6% 3.8% 4.6% 3.8% 2.3% 1.1%
1 2.7% 6.6% 8.0% 6.5% 4.0% 1.9%
2 2.3% 5.6% 6.9% 5.6% 3.4% 1.7%
3 1.3% 3.2% 3.9% 3.2% 2.0% 1.0%
4 0.6% 1.4% 1.7% 1.4% 0.8% 0.4%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.2% · Draw 19.2% · Away win 50.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1