League One — England
Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 14:00 • Pirelli Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.40 (league 1.41) 0.96 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.9% 36.5% 48.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
25.7%
0 - 1
24.7%
0 - 2
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
Bolton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burton Albion 0 25.7% 24.7% 11.9% 3.8% 0.9% 0.2%
1 10.2% 9.8% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
2 2.0% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBurton AlbionBolton
Played55
Form33%67%
Attack15%77%
Defense54%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.410 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Burton Albion Bolton
HATHAT
Played55106511
Wins20%20%20%67%0%36%
Draws20%40%30%33%60%45%
Loses60%40%50%0%40%18%

Form: Burton Albion: WLDLLLDLWD • Bolton: LWDDDDWDWLW

League goals

Metric Burton Albion Bolton
HATHAT
GF total25713316
GF avg0.41.00.72.20.61.5
GA total96154711
GA avg1.81.21.50.71.41.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBurton AlbionBolton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%70%82%82%
1.520%40%36%18%
2.50%30%18%0%
3.50%10%9%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBurton AlbionBolton
HATHAT
Clean sheets123202
Failed to score415022

Penalties

MetricBurton AlbionBolton
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricBurton AlbionBolton
Wins11
Draws14
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-14-1—
Biggest losses0-43-2—2-0
Goals For2241
Goals Against4312

Model comparison

MetricBurton AlbionBolton
Form33%67%
Att17%83%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution27%73%
H2h15%85%
Goals36%64%
Total28.8%71.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Bolton and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.50 @ Betfair
Draw4.16 @ Pinnacle
Away1.76 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.81 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.10 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.79 @ 188Bet
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Burton Albion = 0.40 (league 1.41), Bolton = 0.96 (league 1.12)

Bolton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burton Albion 0 25.7% 24.7% 11.9% 3.8% 0.9% 0.2%
1 10.2% 9.8% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
2 2.0% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.9% · Draw 36.5% · Away win 48.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1