League One — England
Tue, Nov 25 2025 • 19:45 • Weston Homes Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.36 (league 1.44) 1.48 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.4% 25.0% 39.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.8%
1 - 2
8.7%
0 - 1
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
Stevenage
0 1 2 3 4 5
Peterborough 0 5.8% 8.7% 6.4% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3%
1 7.9% 11.8% 8.7% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.4% 8.0% 5.9% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3%
3 2.4% 3.6% 2.7% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
4 0.8% 1.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPeterboroughStevenage
Played55
Form60%33%
Attack73%20%
Defense73%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Peterborough Stevenage
HATHAT
Played87157714
Wins38%29%33%71%43%57%
Draws13%0%7%29%14%21%
Loses50%71%60%0%43%21%

Form: Peterborough: LLLLDLLWWLLWLWW • Stevenage: WWWWLWDWWWLDLD

League goals

Metric Peterborough Stevenage
HATHAT
GF total126189918
GF avg1.50.91.21.31.31.3
GA total1012222911
GA avg1.31.71.50.31.30.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePeterboroughStevenage
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%73%71%64%
1.527%53%43%14%
2.513%20%14%0%
3.57%0%0%0%
4.57%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPeterboroughStevenage
HATHAT
Clean sheets224505
Failed to score325134

Penalties

MetricPeterboroughStevenage
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricPeterboroughStevenage
Wins24
Draws11
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-12-02-3
Biggest losses0-33-0—1-0
Goals For5223
Goals Against3312

Model comparison

MetricPeterboroughStevenage
Form64%36%
Att79%21%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h85%15%
Goals67%33%
Total64.0%36.0%

Advice: Double chance : Peterborough or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.34 @ 10Bet
Draw3.31 @ Pinnacle
Away3.49 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.21 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.95 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Peterborough = 1.36 (league 1.44), Stevenage = 1.48 (league 1.14)

Stevenage
0 1 2 3 4 5
Peterborough 0 5.8% 8.7% 6.4% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3%
1 7.9% 11.8% 8.7% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.4% 8.0% 5.9% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3%
3 2.4% 3.6% 2.7% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
4 0.8% 1.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.4% · Draw 25.0% · Away win 39.9%

Vtot 11 , Vtod1