League One — England
Tue, Mar 10 2026 • 19:45 • Oakwell
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.51 (league 1.46) 2.01 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.5% 21.5% 47.8%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.0%
1 - 1
9.0%
2 - 2
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
Cardiff
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barnsley 0 3.0% 6.0% 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% 0.8%
1 4.5% 9.0% 9.0% 6.1% 3.0% 1.2%
2 3.4% 6.8% 6.8% 4.6% 2.3% 0.9%
3 1.7% 3.4% 3.4% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5%
4 0.6% 1.3% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBarnsleyCardiff
Played55
Form60%60%
Attack62%100%
Defense54%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.613 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Barnsley Cardiff
HATHAT
Played171633181735
Wins53%25%39%78%47%63%
Draws18%31%24%6%29%17%
Loses29%44%36%17%24%20%

Form: Barnsley: WWDWLWWLLDDLWWDLWLLLDWDLWDLDWLWLW • Cardiff: WDWWWWDLWLWWLLWWWWWLWWDWDWDWDWWWLWL

League goals

Metric Barnsley Cardiff
HATHAT
GF total342155422668
GF avg2.01.31.72.31.51.9
GA total262955201838
GA avg1.51.81.71.11.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBarnsleyCardiff
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%94%89%63%
1.558%52%54%26%
2.527%18%34%14%
3.53%3%17%3%
4.53%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBarnsleyCardiff
HATHAT
Clean sheets1126713
Failed to score448224

Penalties

MetricBarnsleyCardiff
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricBarnsleyCardiff
Wins25
Draws21
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-34-00-4
Biggest losses0-24-01-35-2
Goals For5344
Goals Against3435

Model comparison

MetricBarnsleyCardiff
Form50%50%
Att38%62%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h15%85%
Goals21%79%
Total37.3%62.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Cardiff

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.80 @ Betfair
Draw4.11 @ Pinnacle
Away1.94 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.56 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.50 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.58 @ Pinnacle
No2.55 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Barnsley = 1.51 (league 1.46), Cardiff = 2.01 (league 1.12)

Cardiff
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barnsley 0 3.0% 6.0% 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% 0.8%
1 4.5% 9.0% 9.0% 6.1% 3.0% 1.2%
2 3.4% 6.8% 6.8% 4.6% 2.3% 0.9%
3 1.7% 3.4% 3.4% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5%
4 0.6% 1.3% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.5% · Draw 21.5% · Away win 47.8%

vtt 16 , vtd10