Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 14:00 •
The Dransfield Stadium
Expected Goals
1.98 (league 1.32)
1.65 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 44.2% | 21.6% | 31.9% |
best score tips
1 - 1
8.7%
2 - 1
8.6%
1 - 2
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Matlock Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| North Ferriby | 0 | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 5.3% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 5.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 3.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | North Ferriby | Matlock Town |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 87% |
| Attack | 33% | 94% |
| Defense | 83% | 61% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 17 | 3.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
94%
FT probability
2.5+
66%
FT probability
3.5+
47%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | North Ferriby | Matlock Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 25% | 50% | 38% | 50% | 67% | 57% |
| Draws | 75% | 0% | 38% | 50% | 0% | 29% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 25% | 0% | 33% | 14% |
Form: North Ferriby: LDWDLDWW • Matlock Town: DLDWWWW
League goals
| Metric | North Ferriby | Matlock Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 19 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 2.7 |
| GA total | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | North Ferriby | Matlock Town | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 50% | 86% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 25% | 71% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 38% | 0% | 57% | 29% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 14% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 14% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | North Ferriby | Matlock Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | North Ferriby | Matlock Town |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | North Ferriby | Matlock Town |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-3 | 7-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | — | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 7 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | North Ferriby | Matlock Town |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 62% |
| Att | 26% | 74% |
| Def | 70% | 30% |
| Poisson Distribution | 48% | 52% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 45.5% | 54.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Matlock Town
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): North Ferriby = 1.98 (league 1.32), Matlock Town = 1.65 (league 1.31)
| Matlock Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| North Ferriby | 0 | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 5.3% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 5.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 3.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.2% · Draw 21.6% · Away win 31.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1