First League — Russia
Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 14:00 • Yekaterinburg Arena
Match Postponed
—
Expected Goals
2.01 (league 1.23) 1.03 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.5% 21.1% 18.6%
best score tips
2 - 1
10.0%
1 - 1
9.9%
2 - 0
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Chelyabinsk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ural 0 4.8% 4.9% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 9.6% 9.9% 5.1% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.7% 10.0% 5.1% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 6.5% 6.7% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 3.3% 3.4% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.3% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUralChelyabinsk
Played55
Form33%60%
Attack38%38%
Defense38%94%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 21 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ural Chelyabinsk
HATHAT
Played76137613
Wins57%50%54%71%17%46%
Draws29%17%23%29%50%38%
Loses14%33%23%0%33%15%

Form: Ural: WWWWLWWDDWDLL • Chelyabinsk: WWLWLWDDWDWDD

League goals

Metric Ural Chelyabinsk
HATHAT
GF total1382111718
GF avg1.91.31.61.61.21.4
GA total69152810
GA avg0.91.51.20.31.30.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUralChelyabinsk
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%62%85%54%
1.546%31%23%23%
2.523%8%23%0%
3.58%8%8%0%
4.50%8%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUralChelyabinsk
HATHAT
Clean sheets325516
Failed to score112112

Penalties

MetricUralChelyabinsk
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricUralChelyabinsk
Wins42
Draws22
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-24-02-3
Biggest losses1-25-1—2-1
Goals For4343
Goals Against2512

Model comparison

MetricUralChelyabinsk
Form36%64%
Att50%50%
Def9%91%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total40.8%59.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Chelyabinsk

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.73 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.59 @ Pinnacle
Away5.20 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.29 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.64 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.19 @ Pinnacle
No1.68 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ural = 2.01 (league 1.23), Chelyabinsk = 1.03 (league 1.05)

Chelyabinsk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ural 0 4.8% 4.9% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 9.6% 9.9% 5.1% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.7% 10.0% 5.1% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 6.5% 6.7% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 3.3% 3.4% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.3% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.5% · Draw 21.1% · Away win 18.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1