Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 16:15 • Park Hall
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.13 (league 1.63) 0.99 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.8% 29.7% 31.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.6%
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 0
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
Penybont
0 1 2 3 4 5
The New Saints 0 12.0% 11.8% 5.8% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
1 13.6% 13.4% 6.6% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
2 7.7% 7.6% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.9% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricThe New SaintsPenybont
Played55
Form100%87%
Attack100%64%
Defense71%86%
Goals For (tot | avg)16 | 3.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric The New Saints Penybont
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins83%67%75%67%67%67%
Draws0%33%17%0%33%17%
Loses17%0%8%33%0%17%

Form: The New Saints: LWWDDWWWWWWW • Penybont: WLWWLDWWWWDW

League goals

Metric The New Saints Penybont
HATHAT
GF total221133101020
GF avg3.71.82.81.71.71.7
GA total538437
GA avg0.80.50.70.70.50.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineThe New SaintsPenybont
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%42%67%42%
1.575%17%50%17%
2.558%8%25%0%
3.533%0%17%0%
4.517%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricThe New SaintsPenybont
HATHAT
Clean sheets437347
Failed to score112224

Penalties

MetricThe New SaintsPenybont
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricThe New SaintsPenybont
Wins24
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-01-35-00-4
Biggest losses0-3—0-2—
Goals For6354
Goals Against3122

Model comparison

MetricThe New SaintsPenybont
Form54%46%
Att64%36%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h60%40%
Goals67%33%
Total55.7%44.3%

Advice: Double chance : The New Saints or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.48 @ Bet365
Draw4.83 @ Pinnacle
Away6.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.30 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ Unibet
No2.05 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): The New Saints = 1.13 (league 1.63), Penybont = 0.99 (league 1.38)

Penybont
0 1 2 3 4 5
The New Saints 0 12.0% 11.8% 5.8% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
1 13.6% 13.4% 6.6% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
2 7.7% 7.6% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.9% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.8% · Draw 29.7% · Away win 31.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1