Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 17:30 • Claudio Fabian Tapia
Match Postponed
Expected Goals
1.24 (league 1.02) 2.11 (league 0.74)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.7% 20.8% 55.3%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.7%
1 - 1
9.2%
0 - 2
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
Boca Juniors
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barracas Central 0 3.5% 7.4% 7.8% 5.5% 2.9% 1.2%
1 4.4% 9.2% 9.7% 6.8% 3.6% 1.5%
2 2.7% 5.7% 6.0% 4.2% 2.2% 0.9%
3 1.1% 2.3% 2.5% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4%
4 0.3% 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBarracas CentralBoca Juniors
Played55
Form40%53%
Attack50%100%
Defense50%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.811 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Barracas Central Boca Juniors
HATHAT
Played131528151429
Wins46%33%39%67%36%52%
Draws23%47%36%27%29%28%
Loses31%20%25%7%36%21%

Form: Barracas Central: LDWWDDWLDDWLWLWWLWLWWDDWDLDD • Boca Juniors: DDWLWWWWWWLWWWLDWLDDLDWWWDDLW

League goals

Metric Barracas Central Boca Juniors
HATHAT
GF total181533261743
GF avg1.41.01.21.71.21.5
GA total17153271320
GA avg1.31.01.10.50.90.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBarracas CentralBoca Juniors
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%79%52%
1.529%21%41%17%
2.514%18%17%0%
3.50%0%7%0%
4.50%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBarracas CentralBoca Juniors
HATHAT
Clean sheets3479514
Failed to score257246

Penalties

MetricBarracas CentralBoca Juniors
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricBarracas CentralBoca Juniors
Wins26
Draws22
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-35-00-3
Biggest losses0-33-00-12-0
Goals For3353
Goals Against3322

Model comparison

MetricBarracas CentralBoca Juniors
Form43%57%
Att27%73%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h7%93%
Goals23%77%
Total32.3%67.7%

Advice: Winner : Boca Juniors

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.70 @ Betano
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away2.07 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.67 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.53 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.32 @ 188Bet
No1.65 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Barracas Central = 1.24 (league 1.02), Boca Juniors = 2.11 (league 0.74)

Boca Juniors
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barracas Central 0 3.5% 7.4% 7.8% 5.5% 2.9% 1.2%
1 4.4% 9.2% 9.7% 6.8% 3.6% 1.5%
2 2.7% 5.7% 6.0% 4.2% 2.2% 0.9%
3 1.1% 2.3% 2.5% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4%
4 0.3% 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.7% · Draw 20.8% · Away win 55.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1