Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 18:00 • Estádio de Los Lários
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.12 (league 1.07) 2.63 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
13.9% 16.4% 64.5%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.1%
0 - 2
8.1%
1 - 3
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
Carapebus
0 1 2 3 4 5
Petrópolis 0 2.4% 6.2% 8.1% 7.1% 4.7% 2.5%
1 2.6% 6.9% 9.1% 8.0% 5.2% 2.7%
2 1.5% 3.9% 5.1% 4.5% 2.9% 1.5%
3 0.6% 1.5% 1.9% 1.7% 1.1% 0.6%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPetrópolisCarapebus
Played55
Form60%47%
Attack42%25%
Defense67%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

55%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

53%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Petrópolis Carapebus
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins50%67%60%0%100%40%
Draws0%0%0%33%0%20%
Loses50%33%40%67%0%40%

Form: Petrópolis: LWWLW • Carapebus: WDWLL

League goals

Metric Petrópolis Carapebus
HATHAT
GF total325033
GF avg1.50.71.00.01.50.6
GA total314404
GA avg1.50.30.81.30.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePetrópolisCarapebus
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%40%40%40%
1.520%20%20%40%
2.50%20%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPetrópolisCarapebus
HATHAT
Clean sheets123123
Failed to score011303

Penalties

MetricPetrópolisCarapebus
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricPetrópolisCarapebus
Wins21
Draws01
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-10-2
Biggest losses2-31-00-2
Goals For2102
Goals Against3120

Model comparison

MetricPetrópolisCarapebus
Form56%44%
Att63%38%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total56.3%44.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Petrópolis or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.04 @ 1xBet
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away4.10 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.75 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.42 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.30 @ 10Bet
No1.55 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Petrópolis = 1.12 (league 1.07), Carapebus = 2.63 (league 0.86)

Carapebus
0 1 2 3 4 5
Petrópolis 0 2.4% 6.2% 8.1% 7.1% 4.7% 2.5%
1 2.6% 6.9% 9.1% 8.0% 5.2% 2.7%
2 1.5% 3.9% 5.1% 4.5% 2.9% 1.5%
3 0.6% 1.5% 1.9% 1.7% 1.1% 0.6%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.9% · Draw 16.4% · Away win 64.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1