Carioca - 2 — Brazil
Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 18:00 • Estádio Mourão Filho
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.93 (league 1.07) 0.23 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.6% 38.3% 9.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
31.1%
1 - 0
29.1%
2 - 0
13.6%
Score & goals probability table
Friburguense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Campo Grande 0 31.1% 7.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 29.1% 6.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.6% 3.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCampo GrandeFriburguense
Played55
Form47%20%
Attack42%8%
Defense67%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 11 | 0.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

41%
FT probability

2.5+

29%
FT probability

3.5+

21%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Campo Grande Friburguense
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins0%33%20%33%0%20%
Draws100%67%80%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%67%100%80%

Form: Campo Grande: DWDDD • Friburguense: LLWLL

League goals

Metric Campo Grande Friburguense
HATHAT
GF total235101
GF avg1.01.01.00.30.00.2
GA total224224
GA avg1.00.70.80.71.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCampo GrandeFriburguense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%80%20%80%
1.520%0%0%0%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCampo GrandeFriburguense
HATHAT
Clean sheets011101
Failed to score011224

Penalties

MetricCampo GrandeFriburguense
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricCampo GrandeFriburguense
Wins11
Draws10
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-21-0—
Biggest losses——0-11-0
Goals For1210
Goals Against1111

Model comparison

MetricCampo GrandeFriburguense
Form70%30%
Att83%17%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total67.7%32.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Campo Grande or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.30 @ Marathonbet
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away3.50 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.10 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.50 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.45 @ 10Bet
No1.54 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Campo Grande = 0.93 (league 1.07), Friburguense = 0.23 (league 0.86)

Friburguense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Campo Grande 0 31.1% 7.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 29.1% 6.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.6% 3.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.6% · Draw 38.3% · Away win 9.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1