Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 20:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.82 (league 1.59) 0.53 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.5% 38.6% 21.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
26.0%
1 - 0
21.3%
0 - 1
13.7%
Score & goals probability table
Cariari Pococi
0 1 2 3 4 5
AD Carmelita 0 26.0% 13.7% 3.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.3% 11.2% 3.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.7% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAD CarmelitaCariari Pococi
Played55
Form33%40%
Attack29%35%
Defense65%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AD Carmelita Cariari Pococi
HATHAT
Played358448
Wins67%0%25%0%25%13%
Draws0%60%38%100%25%63%
Loses33%40%38%0%50%25%

Form: AD Carmelita: LDWLWLDD • Cariari Pococi: DDLDLDWD

League goals

Metric AD Carmelita Cariari Pococi
HATHAT
GF total358549
GF avg1.01.01.01.31.01.1
GA total2795510
GA avg0.71.41.11.31.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAD CarmelitaCariari Pococi
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%88%75%75%
1.525%25%25%38%
2.50%0%13%13%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAD CarmelitaCariari Pococi
HATHAT
Clean sheets101112
Failed to score112112

Penalties

MetricAD CarmelitaCariari Pococi
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAD CarmelitaCariari Pococi
Wins11
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1——0-1
Biggest losses0-12-1—2-1
Goals For2232
Goals Against1232

Model comparison

MetricAD CarmelitaCariari Pococi
Form45%55%
Att45%55%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h62%38%
Goals58%42%
Total52.7%47.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : AD Carmelita or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.81 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Unibet
Away2.70 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.90 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ William Hill
No2.15 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AD Carmelita = 0.82 (league 1.59), Cariari Pococi = 0.53 (league 1.33)

Cariari Pococi
0 1 2 3 4 5
AD Carmelita 0 26.0% 13.7% 3.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.3% 11.2% 3.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.7% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.5% · Draw 38.6% · Away win 21.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1