Carioca - 2 — Brazil
Fri, Oct 10 2025 • 18:00 • Estádio Nivaldo Pereira
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.98 (league 1.02) 1.64 (league 0.91)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.5% 24.6% 52.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
12.0%
1 - 1
11.7%
0 - 2
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Niteroiense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Artsul 0 7.3% 12.0% 9.8% 5.4% 2.2% 0.7%
1 7.1% 11.7% 9.6% 5.2% 2.1% 0.7%
2 3.5% 5.7% 4.7% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3%
3 1.1% 1.9% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArtsulNiteroiense
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack44%56%
Defense67%22%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Artsul Niteroiense
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins50%33%40%33%50%40%
Draws0%33%20%0%50%20%
Loses50%33%40%67%0%40%

Form: Artsul: DLLWW • Niteroiense: WDLWL

League goals

Metric Artsul Niteroiense
HATHAT
GF total224235
GF avg1.00.70.80.71.51.0
GA total213527
GA avg1.00.30.61.71.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArtsulNiteroiense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%40%60%60%
1.520%20%20%60%
2.50%0%20%20%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArtsulNiteroiense
HATHAT
Clean sheets123112
Failed to score022112

Penalties

MetricArtsulNiteroiense
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricArtsulNiteroiense
Wins01
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-21-02-3
Biggest losses1-21-01-3—
Goals For1213
Goals Against2132

Model comparison

MetricArtsulNiteroiense
Form50%50%
Att44%56%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total52.8%47.3%

Advice: Double chance : Artsul or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.27 @ 1xBet
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away3.60 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.75 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ 10Bet
No1.59 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Artsul = 0.98 (league 1.02), Niteroiense = 1.64 (league 0.91)

Niteroiense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Artsul 0 7.3% 12.0% 9.8% 5.4% 2.2% 0.7%
1 7.1% 11.7% 9.6% 5.2% 2.1% 0.7%
2 3.5% 5.7% 4.7% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3%
3 1.1% 1.9% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.5% · Draw 24.6% · Away win 52.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1