Fri, Oct 10 2025 • 18:30 • Ammanford Recreation Ground
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.11 (league 1.62) 1.14 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.6% 28.7% 36.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.3%
0 - 1
12.0%
1 - 0
11.6%
Carmarthen Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ammanford AFC 0 10.5% 12.0% 6.9% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
1 11.6% 13.3% 7.6% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
2 6.5% 7.4% 4.2% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.4% 2.7% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAmmanford AFCCarmarthen Town
Played55
Form40%40%
Attack71%43%
Defense14%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ammanford AFC Carmarthen Town
HATHAT
Played459639
Wins75%20%44%50%33%44%
Draws25%60%44%50%33%44%
Loses0%20%11%0%33%11%

Form: Ammanford AFC: WWDWDWLDD • Carmarthen Town: WWDWDLDWD

League goals

Metric Ammanford AFC Carmarthen Town
HATHAT
GF total7295510
GF avg1.80.41.00.81.71.1
GA total437235
GA avg1.00.60.80.31.00.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAmmanford AFCCarmarthen Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%56%67%33%
1.522%22%22%11%
2.511%0%11%11%
3.50%0%11%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAmmanford AFCCarmarthen Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets134426
Failed to score033213

Penalties

MetricAmmanford AFCCarmarthen Town
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricAmmanford AFCCarmarthen Town
Wins22
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-12-10-4
Biggest losses—2-0—3-1
Goals For3124
Goals Against2213

Model comparison

MetricAmmanford AFCCarmarthen Town
Form50%50%
Att63%38%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h38%62%
Goals41%59%
Total46.3%53.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Carmarthen Town and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.74 @ 1xBet
Draw3.90 @ Bet365
Away2.25 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Betfair
Under 2.52.08 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.65 @ Betfair
No2.16 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ammanford AFC = 1.11 (league 1.62), Carmarthen Town = 1.14 (league 1.49)

Carmarthen Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ammanford AFC 0 10.5% 12.0% 6.9% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
1 11.6% 13.3% 7.6% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
2 6.5% 7.4% 4.2% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.4% 2.7% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.6% · Draw 28.7% · Away win 36.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1