Fri, Oct 10 2025 • 18:30 • Newport Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.33 (league 1.66) 0.62 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.8% 28.6% 17.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.0%
0 - 0
14.3%
2 - 0
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
Trethomas Bluebirds
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newport City 0 14.3% 8.8% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.0% 11.7% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.6% 7.8% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.6% 3.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.9% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNewport CityTrethomas Bluebirds
Played55
Form53%40%
Attack100%100%
Defense29%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Newport City Trethomas Bluebirds
HATHAT
Played358639
Wins67%40%50%33%0%22%
Draws33%40%38%33%67%44%
Loses0%20%13%33%33%33%

Form: Newport City: WWDDDWWL • Trethomas Bluebirds: LDLWDLWDD

League goals

Metric Newport City Trethomas Bluebirds
HATHAT
GF total491310414
GF avg1.31.81.61.71.31.6
GA total26812517
GA avg0.71.21.02.01.71.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNewport CityTrethomas Bluebirds
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%75%89%100%
1.550%13%33%56%
2.525%13%22%11%
3.50%0%11%11%
4.50%0%0%11%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNewport CityTrethomas Bluebirds
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricNewport CityTrethomas Bluebirds
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricNewport CityTrethomas Bluebirds
Wins21
Draws31
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-34-1—
Biggest losses—1-00-52-1
Goals For2342
Goals Against1352

Model comparison

MetricNewport CityTrethomas Bluebirds
Form57%43%
Att44%56%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h0%100%
Goals33%67%
Total51.8%48.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Trethomas Bluebirds

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.62 @ 10Bet
Draw3.90 @ Pinnacle
Away4.61 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.73 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.11 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Betfair
No2.06 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Newport City = 1.33 (league 1.66), Trethomas Bluebirds = 0.62 (league 1.47)

Trethomas Bluebirds
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newport City 0 14.3% 8.8% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.0% 11.7% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.6% 7.8% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.6% 3.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.9% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.8% · Draw 28.6% · Away win 17.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1