Druha Liga — Ukraine
Wed, Oct 8 2025 • 10:15 • SK Lyustdorf
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.53 (league 1.51) 2.36 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
6.6% 15.0% 75.1%
best score tips
0 - 2
15.5%
0 - 1
13.1%
0 - 3
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Rebel
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chornomorets II 0 5.6% 13.1% 15.5% 12.2% 7.2% 3.4%
1 2.9% 7.0% 8.2% 6.5% 3.8% 1.8%
2 0.8% 1.8% 2.2% 1.7% 1.0% 0.5%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChornomorets IIRebel
Played55
Form7%47%
Attack14%14%
Defense45%86%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chornomorets II Rebel
HATHAT
Played46105510
Wins25%0%10%60%60%60%
Draws0%50%30%0%20%10%
Loses75%50%60%40%20%30%

Form: Chornomorets II: LLDDWDLLLL • Rebel: WWWLWWLWLD

League goals

Metric Chornomorets II Rebel
HATHAT
GF total4484610
GF avg1.00.70.80.81.21.0
GA total101020246
GA avg2.51.72.00.40.80.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChornomorets IIRebel
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%100%70%50%
1.530%60%20%10%
2.50%30%10%0%
3.50%10%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChornomorets IIRebel
HATHAT
Clean sheets000325
Failed to score235213

Penalties

MetricChornomorets IIRebel
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricChornomorets IIRebel
Wins13
Draws20
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—2-02-3
Biggest losses0-33-00-11-0
Goals For2223
Goals Against4312

Model comparison

MetricChornomorets IIRebel
Form13%88%
Att50%50%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution19%81%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total25.5%74.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Rebel

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chornomorets II = 0.53 (league 1.51), Rebel = 2.36 (league 1.27)

Rebel
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chornomorets II 0 5.6% 13.1% 15.5% 12.2% 7.2% 3.4%
1 2.9% 7.0% 8.2% 6.5% 3.8% 1.8%
2 0.8% 1.8% 2.2% 1.7% 1.0% 0.5%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 6.6% · Draw 15.0% · Away win 75.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1