Liga MX — Mexico
Mon, Oct 6 2025 • 03:05 • Estadio Caliente
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.22 (league 1.55) 1.06 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
68.4% 12.1% 8.7%
best score tips
3 - 1
8.2%
3 - 0
7.7%
2 - 1
7.6%
Score & goals probability table
Monterrey
0 1 2 3 4 5
Club Tijuana 0 1.4% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 4.5% 4.7% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.2% 7.6% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.7% 8.2% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 6.2% 6.6% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
5 4.0% 4.2% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricClub TijuanaMonterrey
Played55
Form67%67%
Attack58%53%
Defense89%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.410 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Club Tijuana Monterrey
HATHAT
Played65115611
Wins67%20%45%80%67%73%
Draws33%40%36%20%0%9%
Loses0%40%18%0%33%18%

Form: Club Tijuana: WLDDWDWDWLW • Monterrey: LWWWWWWWDLW

League goals

Metric Club Tijuana Monterrey
HATHAT
GF total15621121123
GF avg2.51.21.92.41.82.1
GA total471151217
GA avg0.71.41.01.02.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineClub TijuanaMonterrey
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.591%55%91%64%
1.555%27%64%45%
2.527%18%45%18%
3.59%0%9%9%
4.59%0%0%9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricClub TijuanaMonterrey
HATHAT
Clean sheets415224
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricClub TijuanaMonterrey
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 75.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 25.00%
Total24

Streaks

MetricClub TijuanaMonterrey
Wins17
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-23-02-4
Biggest losses—3-1—6-2
Goals For5234
Goals Against3326

Model comparison

MetricClub TijuanaMonterrey
Form50%50%
Att52%48%
Def83%17%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h38%62%
Goals35%65%
Total55.8%44.2%

Advice: Double chance : Club Tijuana or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.72 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.82 @ Pinnacle
Away2.47 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Betano
Under 2.52.53 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.51 @ 188Bet
No2.75 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Club Tijuana = 3.22 (league 1.55), Monterrey = 1.06 (league 1.19)

Monterrey
0 1 2 3 4 5
Club Tijuana 0 1.4% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 4.5% 4.7% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.2% 7.6% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.7% 8.2% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
4 6.2% 6.6% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
5 4.0% 4.2% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.4% · Draw 12.1% · Away win 8.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1