Mon, Oct 6 2025 • 18:30 • Monumental de Villa Lynch
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.69 (league 1.11) 0.56 (league 0.85)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.7% 40.7% 25.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
28.5%
1 - 0
19.7%
0 - 1
16.1%
Score & goals probability table
Sacachispas
0 1 2 3 4 5
UAI Urquiza 0 28.5% 16.1% 4.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.7% 11.1% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 6.8% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUAI UrquizaSacachispas
Played55
Form33%33%
Attack25%63%
Defense38%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

49%
FT probability

2.5+

34%
FT probability

3.5+

24%
FT probability

BTTS

52%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric UAI Urquiza Sacachispas
HATHAT
Played171734181735
Wins24%18%21%17%18%17%
Draws53%47%50%56%35%46%
Loses24%35%29%28%47%37%

Form: UAI Urquiza: LLWDDWDLLDDDDDWDDWWDDLWDDLDLLDLLDW • Sacachispas: DDLLDDLDDLWDLDLLLDLWDDLWWDDLWDDWDLL

League goals

Metric UAI Urquiza Sacachispas
HATHAT
GF total121123191029
GF avg0.70.60.71.10.60.8
GA total141933201838
GA avg0.81.11.01.11.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUAI UrquizaSacachispas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%62%60%71%
1.518%26%17%26%
2.50%9%6%11%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUAI UrquizaSacachispas
HATHAT
Clean sheets76133710
Failed to score891741014

Penalties

MetricUAI UrquizaSacachispas
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricUAI UrquizaSacachispas
Wins22
Draws52
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-23-10-3
Biggest losses0-23-01-33-0
Goals For2233
Goals Against2333

Model comparison

MetricUAI UrquizaSacachispas
Form50%50%
Att29%71%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h50%50%
Goals56%44%
Total48.0%52.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Sacachispas and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.95 @ SBO
Draw2.88 @ Bet365
Away2.89 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.54.00 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.31 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes3.25 @ Bet365
No1.47 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): UAI Urquiza = 0.69 (league 1.11), Sacachispas = 0.56 (league 0.85)

Sacachispas
0 1 2 3 4 5
UAI Urquiza 0 28.5% 16.1% 4.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.7% 11.1% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 6.8% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.7% · Draw 40.7% · Away win 25.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1