Esiliiga A — Estonia
Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 09:30 • Lasnamäe SPK kunstmuruväljak
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.22 (league 1.99) 1.59 (league 1.71)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.4% 20.3% 27.1%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.7%
1 - 1
7.8%
2 - 2
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
Tallinna Kalev II
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Tallinn 0 2.2% 3.5% 2.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
1 4.9% 7.8% 6.2% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4%
2 5.4% 8.7% 6.9% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5%
3 4.0% 6.4% 5.1% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3%
4 2.2% 3.5% 2.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
5 1.0% 1.6% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC TallinnTallinna Kalev II
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack53%60%
Defense7%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 2.815 | 3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

77%
FT probability

3.5+

55%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Tallinn Tallinna Kalev II
HATHAT
Played151530151530
Wins33%33%33%13%20%17%
Draws20%20%20%27%40%33%
Loses47%47%47%60%40%50%

Form: FC Tallinn: LLDLLWWDDLLDWWWWWLLWWLLLLLDLDW • Tallinna Kalev II: LDDLLLLLDLDWDLLDLLLDLWDDWWDLWL

League goals

Metric FC Tallinn Tallinna Kalev II
HATHAT
GF total252651222547
GF avg1.71.71.71.51.71.6
GA total243559353974
GA avg1.62.32.02.32.62.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC TallinnTallinna Kalev II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%83%70%93%
1.543%60%43%70%
2.520%27%20%47%
3.510%13%10%27%
4.57%10%10%10%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC TallinnTallinna Kalev II
HATHAT
Clean sheets325112
Failed to score246639

Penalties

MetricFC TallinnTallinna Kalev II
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricFC TallinnTallinna Kalev II
Wins52
Draws22
Losses55

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-00-36-10-2
Biggest losses1-56-00-55-1
Goals For7665
Goals Against5655

Model comparison

MetricFC TallinnTallinna Kalev II
Form42%58%
Att47%53%
Def52%48%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h75%25%
Goals67%33%
Total57.0%43.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : FC Tallinn or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.00 @ Bet365
Draw5.10 @ Superbet
Away2.15 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.30 @ Unibet
No3.80 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.28 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.80 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Tallinn = 2.22 (league 1.99), Tallinna Kalev II = 1.59 (league 1.71)

Tallinna Kalev II
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Tallinn 0 2.2% 3.5% 2.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
1 4.9% 7.8% 6.2% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4%
2 5.4% 8.7% 6.9% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5%
3 4.0% 6.4% 5.1% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3%
4 2.2% 3.5% 2.8% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
5 1.0% 1.6% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.4% · Draw 20.3% · Away win 27.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1