Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 11:30 • Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.64 (league 1.56) 3.60 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
3.2% 7.3% 74.0%
best score tips
0 - 3
11.2%
0 - 4
10.0%
0 - 2
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Hannover 96
0 1 2 3 4 5
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0 1.4% 5.2% 9.3% 11.2% 10.0% 7.2%
1 0.9% 3.3% 6.0% 7.2% 6.5% 4.6%
2 0.3% 1.1% 1.9% 2.3% 2.1% 1.5%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSpVgg Greuther FürthHannover 96
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack38%48%
Defense48%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric SpVgg Greuther Fürth Hannover 96
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins33%50%43%75%67%71%
Draws0%0%0%0%33%14%
Loses67%50%57%25%0%14%

Form: SpVgg Greuther Fürth: WLLWLWL • Hannover 96: WWWWLDW

League goals

Metric SpVgg Greuther Fürth Hannover 96
HATHAT
GF total310137613
GF avg1.02.51.91.82.01.9
GA total7916538
GA avg2.32.32.31.31.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSpVgg Greuther FürthHannover 96
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%100%86%71%
1.557%71%71%29%
2.543%43%29%14%
3.514%14%0%0%
4.514%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSpVgg Greuther FürthHannover 96
HATHAT
Clean sheets000112
Failed to score213101

Penalties

MetricSpVgg Greuther FürthHannover 96
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricSpVgg Greuther FürthHannover 96
Wins14
Draws01
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-33-10-2
Biggest losses0-33-20-3
Goals For3532
Goals Against3432

Model comparison

MetricSpVgg Greuther FürthHannover 96
Form38%63%
Att44%56%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution16%84%
H2h38%62%
Goals42%58%
Total36.7%63.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Hannover 96 and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.14 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.03 @ Pinnacle
Away2.00 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.49 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.54 @ Pinnacle
No2.56 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): SpVgg Greuther Fürth = 0.64 (league 1.56), Hannover 96 = 3.60 (league 1.28)

Hannover 96
0 1 2 3 4 5
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0 1.4% 5.2% 9.3% 11.2% 10.0% 7.2%
1 0.9% 3.3% 6.0% 7.2% 6.5% 4.6%
2 0.3% 1.1% 1.9% 2.3% 2.1% 1.5%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 3.2% · Draw 7.3% · Away win 74.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1