Esiliiga B
— Estonia
Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 12:00 •
Narva Kalev-Fama staadion
Expected Goals
2.63 (league 2.19)
0.55 (league 1.95)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 76.5% | 12.8% | 5.6% |
best score tips
2 - 0
14.3%
3 - 0
12.5%
1 - 0
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Kuressaare II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Narva U21 | 0 | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.9% | 6.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.3% | 7.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.5% | 7.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.2% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Narva U21 | Kuressaare II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 27% |
| Attack | 67% | 17% |
| Defense | 79% | 38% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 16 | 3.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 15 | 3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
74%
FT probability
3.5+
53%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Narva U21 | Kuressaare II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 15 | 28 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 69% | 53% | 61% | 13% | 21% | 17% |
| Draws | 0% | 13% | 7% | 0% | 7% | 3% |
| Loses | 31% | 33% | 32% | 87% | 71% | 79% |
Form: Narva U21: WWDWLLWWWWLWWWWLWLWLLLWWWLDW • Kuressaare II: LWLLWLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLWLWWDLLL
League goals
| Metric | Narva U21 | Kuressaare II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 31 | 36 | 67 | 15 | 17 | 32 |
| GF avg | 2.4 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 12 | 31 | 43 | 51 | 33 | 84 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 3.4 | 2.4 | 2.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Narva U21 | Kuressaare II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 61% | 66% | 90% |
| 1.5 | 61% | 36% | 31% | 79% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 18% | 14% | 62% |
| 3.5 | 29% | 11% | 0% | 38% |
| 4.5 | 11% | 7% | 0% | 14% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Narva U21 | Kuressaare II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 4 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Narva U21 | Kuressaare II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Narva U21 | Kuressaare II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 16 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | 1-5 | 3-2 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 11-1 | 1-6 | 6-2 |
| Goals For | 6 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 11 | 6 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Narva U21 | Kuressaare II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 71% | 29% |
| Att | 80% | 20% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 82% | 18% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 79% | 21% |
| Total | 77.8% | 22.2% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Narva U21 and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Narva U21 = 2.63 (league 2.19), Kuressaare II = 0.55 (league 1.95)
| Kuressaare II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Narva U21 | 0 | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.9% | 6.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.3% | 7.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.5% | 7.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.2% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.5% · Draw 12.8% · Away win 5.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1