Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 12:00 • Stadion Guzar
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.09 (league 1.47) 1.52 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.1% 25.6% 46.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.2%
0 - 1
11.2%
1 - 2
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Sogdiana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shortan 0 7.4% 11.2% 8.5% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5%
1 8.0% 12.2% 9.3% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5%
2 4.4% 6.6% 5.0% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
3 1.6% 2.4% 1.8% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricShortanSogdiana
Played55
Form13%33%
Attack31%54%
Defense31%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Shortan Sogdiana
HATHAT
Played111223121123
Wins18%0%9%50%0%26%
Draws18%33%26%25%36%30%
Loses64%67%65%25%64%43%

Form: Shortan: LLDLLLLLDWLDWLLLDLLDLDL • Sogdiana: LLLWDLWLDLDDWLWLDWLDWDL

League goals

Metric Shortan Sogdiana
HATHAT
GF total11415181028
GF avg1.00.30.71.50.91.2
GA total212041111829
GA avg1.91.71.80.91.61.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineShortanSogdiana
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.552%83%78%78%
1.59%61%35%35%
2.54%26%4%13%
3.50%9%4%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricShortanSogdiana
HATHAT
Clean sheets224415
Failed to score3811145

Penalties

MetricShortanSogdiana
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricShortanSogdiana
Wins11
Draws12
Losses53

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—4-1—
Biggest losses1-44-02-32-0
Goals For3142
Goals Against4433

Model comparison

MetricShortanSogdiana
Form29%71%
Att36%64%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h62%38%
Goals67%33%
Total46.8%53.2%

Advice: Double chance : Shortan or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.99 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.64 @ 1xBet
Away1.72 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.92 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.86 @ 188Bet
No1.92 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Shortan = 1.09 (league 1.47), Sogdiana = 1.52 (league 1.13)

Sogdiana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Shortan 0 7.4% 11.2% 8.5% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5%
1 8.0% 12.2% 9.3% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5%
2 4.4% 6.6% 5.0% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
3 1.6% 2.4% 1.8% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.1% · Draw 25.6% · Away win 46.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1