Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 13:00 •
Sporten tsentar Ludogorets
Expected Goals
0.93 (league 1.73)
0.07 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 58.1% | 39.3% | 2.6% |
best score tips
0 - 0
37.0%
1 - 0
34.3%
2 - 0
15.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Botev Novi Pazar | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ludogorets III | 0 | 37.0% | 2.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 34.3% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ludogorets III | Botev Novi Pazar |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 40% |
| Attack | 44% | 56% |
| Defense | 67% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
55%
FT probability
2.5+
39%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
59%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ludogorets III | Botev Novi Pazar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 33% | 75% | 57% | 67% | 0% | 33% |
| Draws | 67% | 0% | 29% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 25% | 14% | 33% | 100% | 67% |
Form: Ludogorets III: WWLDWDW • Botev Novi Pazar: LLLWLW
League goals
| Metric | Ludogorets III | Botev Novi Pazar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ludogorets III | Botev Novi Pazar | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 43% | 67% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 14% | 0% | 33% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ludogorets III | Botev Novi Pazar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ludogorets III | Botev Novi Pazar |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ludogorets III | Botev Novi Pazar |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 1-2 | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | 1-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ludogorets III | Botev Novi Pazar |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 90% | 10% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 90% | 10% |
| Total | 74.8% | 25.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Ludogorets III or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ludogorets III = 0.93 (league 1.73), Botev Novi Pazar = 0.07 (league 1.36)
| Botev Novi Pazar | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ludogorets III | 0 | 37.0% | 2.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 34.3% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.1% · Draw 39.3% · Away win 2.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1