Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 14:00 • Hammarby IP
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.58 (league 1.89) 0.40 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.4% 24.0% 9.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
21.7%
2 - 0
17.2%
0 - 0
13.7%
Score & goals probability table
Arlanda
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hammarby Talang 0 13.7% 5.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.7% 8.8% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.2% 7.0% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.1% 3.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHammarby TalangArlanda
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack75%25%
Defense63%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hammarby Talang Arlanda
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins75%42%58%50%25%38%
Draws17%33%25%25%25%25%
Loses8%25%17%25%50%38%

Form: Hammarby Talang: WWDWWLWWDWWLWLWDDWWWDDWL • Arlanda: LLWDDLWDWLDWLLDLWWWDWLWL

League goals

Metric Hammarby Talang Arlanda
HATHAT
GF total281846211031
GF avg2.31.51.91.80.81.3
GA total81624171532
GA avg0.71.31.01.41.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHammarby TalangArlanda
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%71%63%79%
1.558%25%38%38%
2.538%4%13%13%
3.58%0%8%4%
4.50%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHammarby TalangArlanda
HATHAT
Clean sheets527325
Failed to score123369

Penalties

MetricHammarby TalangArlanda
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricHammarby TalangArlanda
Wins33
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-35-31-3
Biggest losses0-13-10-23-0
Goals For4353
Goals Against2343

Model comparison

MetricHammarby TalangArlanda
Form53%47%
Att75%25%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution79%21%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total64.3%35.8%

Advice: Double chance : Hammarby Talang or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.53 @ Betano
Draw4.42 @ Pinnacle
Away6.14 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.73 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.12 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Unibet
No1.91 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hammarby Talang = 1.58 (league 1.89), Arlanda = 0.40 (league 1.38)

Arlanda
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hammarby Talang 0 13.7% 5.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.7% 8.8% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.2% 7.0% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.1% 3.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.4% · Draw 24.0% · Away win 9.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1