Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 14:00 • Max-Morlock-Stadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.54 (league 1.86) 4.15 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
1.6% 4.4% 70.0%
best score tips
0 - 4
11.4%
0 - 3
10.9%
0 - 5
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
RB Leipzig W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nürnberg 0 0.9% 3.8% 7.9% 10.9% 11.4% 9.4%
1 0.5% 2.1% 4.3% 5.9% 6.1% 5.1%
2 0.1% 0.6% 1.1% 1.6% 1.6% 1.4%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNürnbergRB Leipzig W
Played44
Form17%25%
Attack15%25%
Defense65%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.85 | 1.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.88 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nürnberg RB Leipzig W
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins0%0%0%0%50%25%
Draws0%100%50%0%0%0%
Loses100%0%50%100%50%75%

Form: Nürnberg: DLLD • RB Leipzig W: WLLL

League goals

Metric Nürnberg RB Leipzig W
HATHAT
GF total123055
GF avg0.51.00.80.02.51.3
GA total527448
GA avg2.51.01.82.02.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNürnbergRB Leipzig W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%100%50%75%
1.50%25%50%50%
2.50%25%25%50%
3.50%25%0%25%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNürnbergRB Leipzig W
HATHAT
Clean sheets000011
Failed to score101202

Penalties

MetricNürnbergRB Leipzig W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNürnbergRB Leipzig W
Wins01
Draws10
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins0-2
Biggest losses1-40-34-3
Goals For1103
Goals Against4134

Model comparison

MetricNürnbergRB Leipzig W
Form40%60%
Att38%63%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution12%88%
H2h20%80%
Goals0%100%
Total32.6%67.6%

Advice: Winner : RB Leipzig W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.20 @ Unibet
Draw3.97 @ Pinnacle
Away1.63 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.76 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.10 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ Unibet
No2.07 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Nürnberg = 0.54 (league 1.86), RB Leipzig W = 4.15 (league 1.50)

RB Leipzig W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nürnberg 0 0.9% 3.8% 7.9% 10.9% 11.4% 9.4%
1 0.5% 2.1% 4.3% 5.9% 6.1% 5.1%
2 0.1% 0.6% 1.1% 1.6% 1.6% 1.4%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 1.6% · Draw 4.4% · Away win 70.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1