Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 14:00 • Estádio da Torrinha
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.56 (league 1.35) 0.42 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.1% 46.9% 21.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
37.6%
1 - 0
20.9%
0 - 1
15.8%
Score & goals probability table
Lagoa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Moncarapachense 0 37.6% 15.8% 3.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.9% 8.8% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 5.8% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMoncarapachenseLagoa
Played55
Form40%13%
Attack67%83%
Defense33%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Moncarapachense Lagoa
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins0%33%20%0%0%0%
Draws100%33%60%33%50%40%
Loses0%33%20%67%50%60%

Form: Moncarapachense: LDWDD • Lagoa: LLLDD

League goals

Metric Moncarapachense Lagoa
HATHAT
GF total134325
GF avg0.51.00.81.01.01.0
GA total134639
GA avg0.51.00.82.01.51.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMoncarapachenseLagoa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%60%100%100%
1.520%20%0%60%
2.50%0%0%20%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMoncarapachenseLagoa
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score112000

Penalties

MetricMoncarapachenseLagoa
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricMoncarapachenseLagoa
Wins10
Draws10
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-2——
Biggest losses—2-11-32-1
Goals For1211
Goals Against1232

Model comparison

MetricMoncarapachenseLagoa
Form75%25%
Att44%56%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h80%20%
Goals100%0%
Total64.0%36.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Moncarapachense or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.83 @ Bet365
Draw3.64 @ Pinnacle
Away5.75 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.15 @ Superbet
No1.75 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Moncarapachense = 0.56 (league 1.35), Lagoa = 0.42 (league 1.19)

Lagoa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Moncarapachense 0 37.6% 15.8% 3.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.9% 8.8% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 5.8% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.1% · Draw 46.9% · Away win 21.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1