Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 18:00 • Estadio Municipal de La Pintana
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.55 (league 1.26) 1.42 (league 0.89)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.5% 27.2% 58.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
19.7%
0 - 2
14.0%
0 - 0
13.9%
Score & goals probability table
Santiago Wanderers
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santiago Morning 0 13.9% 19.7% 14.0% 6.6% 2.3% 0.7%
1 7.7% 10.9% 7.7% 3.7% 1.3% 0.4%
2 2.1% 3.0% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSantiago MorningSantiago Wanderers
Played55
Form7%40%
Attack17%50%
Defense8%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Santiago Morning Santiago Wanderers
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins25%31%28%46%33%40%
Draws33%23%28%31%42%36%
Loses42%46%44%23%25%24%

Form: Santiago Morning: DWDLLWLLDLWDWDWWLWLDLLLLD • Santiago Wanderers: DWWWLWDDLDLDWDWWLLWWWDDLD

League goals

Metric Santiago Morning Santiago Wanderers
HATHAT
GF total61319201737
GF avg0.51.00.81.51.41.5
GA total112233121729
GA avg0.91.71.30.91.41.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSantiago MorningSantiago Wanderers
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.552%64%76%60%
1.520%36%44%28%
2.54%16%16%24%
3.50%12%8%4%
4.50%4%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSantiago MorningSantiago Wanderers
HATHAT
Clean sheets4595510
Failed to score8412336

Penalties

MetricSantiago MorningSantiago Wanderers
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total36

Streaks

MetricSantiago MorningSantiago Wanderers
Wins23
Draws12
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-25-10-3
Biggest losses0-35-11-34-1
Goals For2353
Goals Against3534

Model comparison

MetricSantiago MorningSantiago Wanderers
Form14%86%
Att25%75%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution28%72%
H2h50%50%
Goals46%54%
Total32.3%67.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Santiago Wanderers

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.75 @ Betano
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away2.55 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.81 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.93 @ 188Bet
No2.05 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Santiago Morning = 0.55 (league 1.26), Santiago Wanderers = 1.42 (league 0.89)

Santiago Wanderers
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santiago Morning 0 13.9% 19.7% 14.0% 6.6% 2.3% 0.7%
1 7.7% 10.9% 7.7% 3.7% 1.3% 0.4%
2 2.1% 3.0% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.5% · Draw 27.2% · Away win 58.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1