Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 18:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.15 (league 1.05) 0.74 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.3% 31.0% 23.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.4%
0 - 0
15.2%
1 - 1
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Uruguay Montevideo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cerrito 0 15.2% 11.2% 4.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.4% 12.8% 4.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.0% 7.4% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.8% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCerritoUruguay Montevideo
Played55
Form20%20%
Attack67%67%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.42 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.212 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cerrito Uruguay Montevideo
HATHAT
Played131528141428
Wins31%13%21%29%14%21%
Draws15%40%29%7%14%11%
Loses54%47%50%64%71%68%

Form: Cerrito: LLLLLWLDLWLLWLWDDLLDWWDLLDDD • Uruguay Montevideo: LLWWWLWLWLLDDLLDLLLLLLLWLLLL

League goals

Metric Cerrito Uruguay Montevideo
HATHAT
GF total11142513720
GF avg0.80.90.90.90.50.7
GA total182442262147
GA avg1.41.61.51.91.51.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCerritoUruguay Montevideo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%68%50%89%
1.521%54%14%39%
2.50%21%7%25%
3.50%4%0%11%
4.50%4%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCerritoUruguay Montevideo
HATHAT
Clean sheets459213
Failed to score3695914

Penalties

MetricCerritoUruguay Montevideo
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricCerritoUruguay Montevideo
Wins23
Draws22
Losses57

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-23-11-3
Biggest losses0-35-20-45-1
Goals For2233
Goals Against3545

Model comparison

MetricCerritoUruguay Montevideo
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h15%85%
Goals27%73%
Total45.2%54.8%

Advice: Double chance : Cerrito or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.35 @ Unibet
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away3.13 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ William Hill
No1.83 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cerrito = 1.15 (league 1.05), Uruguay Montevideo = 0.74 (league 0.95)

Uruguay Montevideo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cerrito 0 15.2% 11.2% 4.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.4% 12.8% 4.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.0% 7.4% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.8% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.3% · Draw 31.0% · Away win 23.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1