Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 18:15 • Estádio José Alvalade
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.39 (league 1.38) 1.12 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.0% 18.2% 16.2%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.6%
2 - 0
8.5%
1 - 1
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
SC Braga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sporting CP 0 3.0% 3.3% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 7.1% 8.0% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.5% 9.6% 5.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 6.8% 7.6% 4.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
4 4.1% 4.6% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.9% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSporting CPSC Braga
Played55
Form80%20%
Attack61%28%
Defense78%61%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

92%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sporting CP SC Braga
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins67%100%86%25%33%29%
Draws0%0%0%25%67%43%
Loses33%0%14%50%0%29%

Form: Sporting CP: WWWLWWW • SC Braga: WWDDLDL

League goals

Metric Sporting CP SC Braga
HATHAT
GF total109195611
GF avg3.32.32.71.32.01.6
GA total224437
GA avg0.70.50.61.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSporting CPSC Braga
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%43%71%71%
1.571%14%57%29%
2.543%0%29%0%
3.529%0%0%0%
4.514%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSporting CPSC Braga
HATHAT
Clean sheets224112
Failed to score000202

Penalties

MetricSporting CPSC Braga
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricSporting CPSC Braga
Wins32
Draws02
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-01-43-00-3
Biggest losses1-2—0-1—
Goals For6433
Goals Against2122

Model comparison

MetricSporting CPSC Braga
Form80%20%
Att69%31%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h62%38%
Goals69%31%
Total69.0%31.0%

Advice: Double chance : Sporting CP or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.50 @ Betano
Draw4.86 @ Pinnacle
Away7.00 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Betano
Under 2.52.26 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.89 @ 188Bet
No2.02 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Sporting CP = 2.39 (league 1.38), SC Braga = 1.12 (league 1.25)

SC Braga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sporting CP 0 3.0% 3.3% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 7.1% 8.0% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.5% 9.6% 5.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 6.8% 7.6% 4.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
4 4.1% 4.6% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.9% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.0% · Draw 18.2% · Away win 16.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1