MLS Next Pro — USA
Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 20:00 • Dignity Health Sports Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.12 (league 1.53) 3.51 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.0% 14.6% 50.3%
best score tips
2 - 3
5.8%
1 - 3
5.5%
2 - 4
5.1%
Score & goals probability table
Colorado Rapids II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ventura County 0 0.4% 1.3% 2.2% 2.6% 2.3% 1.6%
1 0.8% 2.7% 4.7% 5.5% 4.8% 3.4%
2 0.8% 2.8% 5.0% 5.8% 5.1% 3.6%
3 0.6% 2.0% 3.5% 4.1% 3.6% 2.5%
4 0.3% 1.1% 1.9% 2.2% 1.9% 1.3%
5 0.1% 0.4% 0.8% 0.9% 0.8% 0.6%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVentura CountyColorado Rapids II
Played55
Form20%60%
Attack16%36%
Defense60%76%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

77%
FT probability

3.5+

55%
FT probability

BTTS

85%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ventura County Colorado Rapids II
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins46%50%48%57%54%56%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses54%50%52%43%46%44%

Form: Ventura County: WLWWWLWLWLWWWWLLLLWWLLLLLLW • Colorado Rapids II: LLWWWLWLLWLWWLLLWWWWLWWWLWL

League goals

Metric Ventura County Colorado Rapids II
HATHAT
GF total232750243054
GF avg1.81.91.91.72.32.0
GA total262753202444
GA avg2.01.92.01.41.81.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVentura CountyColorado Rapids II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%89%85%81%
1.552%67%59%48%
2.530%26%30%26%
3.57%15%19%7%
4.54%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVentura CountyColorado Rapids II
HATHAT
Clean sheets123415
Failed to score303314

Penalties

MetricVentura CountyColorado Rapids II
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total56

Streaks

MetricVentura CountyColorado Rapids II
Wins44
Draws00
Losses63

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-14-64-11-4
Biggest losses0-44-10-34-2
Goals For4664
Goals Against4444

Model comparison

MetricVentura CountyColorado Rapids II
Form25%75%
Att31%69%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h13%88%
Goals20%80%
Total27.3%73.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Colorado Rapids II

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.39 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.98 @ Pinnacle
Away2.49 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.45 @ Pinnacle
No2.69 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.58 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ventura County = 2.12 (league 1.53), Colorado Rapids II = 3.51 (league 1.31)

Colorado Rapids II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ventura County 0 0.4% 1.3% 2.2% 2.6% 2.3% 1.6%
1 0.8% 2.7% 4.7% 5.5% 4.8% 3.4%
2 0.8% 2.8% 5.0% 5.8% 5.1% 3.6%
3 0.6% 2.0% 3.5% 4.1% 3.6% 2.5%
4 0.3% 1.1% 1.9% 2.2% 1.9% 1.3%
5 0.1% 0.4% 0.8% 0.9% 0.8% 0.6%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.0% · Draw 14.6% · Away win 50.3%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1