Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 20:30 • Estadio Nuevo Monumental
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.71 (league 1.31) 0.62 (league 0.73)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.0% 23.1% 13.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.6%
2 - 0
14.2%
1 - 1
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
Sportivo Belgrano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico DE Rafaela 0 9.7% 6.0% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.6% 10.3% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.2% 8.8% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.1% 5.0% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.5% 2.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtletico DE RafaelaSportivo Belgrano
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack40%60%
Defense50%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atletico DE Rafaela Sportivo Belgrano
HATHAT
Played131326141428
Wins85%15%50%64%29%46%
Draws15%38%27%29%21%25%
Loses0%46%23%7%50%29%

Form: Atletico DE Rafaela: LWLWDWWWWLWDDDDLWDWWWLWLDW • Sportivo Belgrano: DDWWLWLWWWDWLDLLDDWLWWWDWLLW

League goals

Metric Atletico DE Rafaela Sportivo Belgrano
HATHAT
GF total21930231235
GF avg1.60.71.21.60.91.3
GA total6162251924
GA avg0.51.20.80.41.40.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtletico DE RafaelaSportivo Belgrano
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%58%64%50%
1.542%19%29%29%
2.54%8%25%7%
3.50%0%7%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtletico DE RafaelaSportivo Belgrano
HATHAT
Clean sheets741110414
Failed to score1785510

Penalties

MetricAtletico DE RafaelaSportivo Belgrano
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total47

Streaks

MetricAtletico DE RafaelaSportivo Belgrano
Wins43
Draws42
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-24-02-3
Biggest losses—3-10-13-0
Goals For3243
Goals Against1323

Model comparison

MetricAtletico DE RafaelaSportivo Belgrano
Form50%50%
Att40%60%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total55.3%44.8%

Advice: Double chance : Atletico DE Rafaela or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.67 @ 10Bet
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away6.75 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.65 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.50 @ Bet365
No1.73 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atletico DE Rafaela = 1.71 (league 1.31), Sportivo Belgrano = 0.62 (league 0.73)

Sportivo Belgrano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico DE Rafaela 0 9.7% 6.0% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.6% 10.3% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.2% 8.8% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.1% 5.0% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.5% 2.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.0% · Draw 23.1% · Away win 13.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1