Serie A — Brazil
Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 21:30 • Estádio Alfredo Jaconi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.83 (league 1.31) 0.88 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.6% 22.5% 17.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.1%
2 - 0
11.1%
1 - 1
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
Fortaleza EC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Juventude 0 6.6% 5.9% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.1% 10.7% 4.7% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 11.1% 9.8% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
3 6.8% 6.0% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.1% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJuventudeFortaleza EC
Played55
Form33%40%
Attack22%56%
Defense44%11%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Juventude Fortaleza EC
HATHAT
Played131225141125
Wins38%8%24%36%0%20%
Draws23%17%20%14%36%24%
Loses38%75%56%50%64%56%

Form: Juventude: WLWLDLLLDLLWLLLLWDWLWLLDD • Fortaleza EC: WDDLLDDWLLLLLDWLDLLLLWLWL

League goals

Metric Juventude Fortaleza EC
HATHAT
GF total1552017724
GF avg1.20.40.81.20.61.0
GA total153146182240
GA avg1.22.61.81.32.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJuventudeFortaleza EC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.552%80%60%72%
1.528%52%20%48%
2.50%28%8%20%
3.50%12%4%12%
4.50%8%4%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJuventudeFortaleza EC
HATHAT
Clean sheets325527
Failed to score48126410

Penalties

MetricJuventudeFortaleza EC
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricJuventudeFortaleza EC
Wins11
Draws12
Losses45

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-15-0—
Biggest losses1-36-00-55-0
Goals For2251
Goals Against3655

Model comparison

MetricJuventudeFortaleza EC
Form45%55%
Att29%71%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h15%85%
Goals20%80%
Total39.8%60.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Fortaleza EC

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.77 @ Betano
Draw3.27 @ 1xBet
Away2.81 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.32 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.66 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Bet365
No1.93 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Juventude = 1.83 (league 1.31), Fortaleza EC = 0.88 (league 0.81)

Fortaleza EC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Juventude 0 6.6% 5.9% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.1% 10.7% 4.7% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 11.1% 9.8% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
3 6.8% 6.0% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.1% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.6% · Draw 22.5% · Away win 17.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1