Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 11:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.02 (league 1.27)
2.60 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 12.5% | 16.1% | 66.4% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.2%
0 - 2
9.0%
1 - 3
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Ahal | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Aşgabat | 0 | 2.7% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 2.7% |
| 1 | 2.7% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 2.7% | |
| 2 | 1.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Aşgabat | Ahal |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Attack | 33% | 20% |
| Defense | 47% | 73% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
83%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Aşgabat | Ahal | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 11 | 21 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| Wins | 30% | 27% | 29% | 50% | 63% | 56% |
| Draws | 20% | 0% | 10% | 30% | 13% | 22% |
| Loses | 50% | 73% | 62% | 20% | 25% | 22% |
Form: Aşgabat: LLDWWLWLLLDLLLLLWWLWL • Ahal: WWLWWWWLWWLDWLWDDD
League goals
| Metric | Aşgabat | Ahal | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 18 | 26 | 44 | 5 | 10 | 15 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Aşgabat | Ahal | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 48% | 81% | 78% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 24% | 57% | 50% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 29% | 33% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 24% | 17% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 10% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Aşgabat | Ahal | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 7 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Aşgabat | Ahal |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Aşgabat | Ahal |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 2-3 | 4-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-5 | 7-0 | 0-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 7 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Aşgabat | Ahal |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 63% | 38% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 21% | 79% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 17% | 83% |
| Total | 38.8% | 61.4% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Ahal
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Aşgabat = 1.02 (league 1.27), Ahal = 2.60 (league 1.38)
| Ahal | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Aşgabat | 0 | 2.7% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 2.7% |
| 1 | 2.7% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 2.7% | |
| 2 | 1.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.5% · Draw 16.1% · Away win 66.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1