Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 11:00 • Porin Urheilukeskus TN
Match Finished
1 - 0

PPJ

Expected Goals
1.62 (league 2.78) 1.05 (league 1.91)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.1% 24.8% 24.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.8%
1 - 0
11.3%
2 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
PPJ
0 1 2 3 4 5
Musa 0 6.9% 7.3% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.3% 11.8% 6.2% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
2 9.1% 9.5% 5.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.9% 5.2% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
4 2.0% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMusaPPJ
Played55
Form80%100%
Attack83%83%
Defense91%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)19 | 3.819 | 3.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

7.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

7.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

64%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Musa PPJ
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins100%67%80%100%100%100%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%33%20%0%0%0%

Form: Musa: WLWWW • PPJ: WWWWW

League goals

Metric Musa PPJ
HATHAT
GF total6131911819
GF avg3.04.33.83.74.03.8
GA total112134
GA avg0.50.30.40.31.50.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMusaPPJ
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%40%100%40%
1.580%0%80%20%
2.560%0%80%20%
3.540%0%80%0%
4.520%0%40%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMusaPPJ
HATHAT
Clean sheets123213
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricMusaPPJ
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricMusaPPJ
Wins15
Draws00
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-105-00-4
Biggest losses—1-0——
Goals For41054
Goals Against1113

Model comparison

MetricMusaPPJ
Form44%56%
Att50%50%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h33%67%
Goals27%73%
Total46.8%53.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Musa or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Musa = 1.62 (league 2.78), PPJ = 1.05 (league 1.91)

PPJ
0 1 2 3 4 5
Musa 0 6.9% 7.3% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.3% 11.8% 6.2% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
2 9.1% 9.5% 5.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.9% 5.2% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
4 2.0% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.1% · Draw 24.8% · Away win 24.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1