
Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 12:00 •
WGF-Arena Stadion des Friedens
Expected Goals
0.81 (league 1.73)
0.79 (league 1.78)
1x2 probabilities
home | draw | away |
---|---|---|
32.9% | 35.4% | 31.7% |
best score tips
0 - 0
20.3%
1 - 0
16.4%
0 - 1
16.0%
Score & goals probability table
Plauen | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
SC Freital | 0 | 20.3% | 16.0% | 6.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
1 | 16.4% | 12.9% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
2 | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
3 | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
4 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
Metric | SC Freital | Plauen |
---|---|---|
Played | 5 | 5 |
Form | 87% | 73% |
Attack | 94% | 63% |
Defense | 88% | 75% |
Goals For (tot | avg) | 15 | 3 | 10 | 2 |
Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
Metric | SC Freital | Plauen | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
H | A | T | H | A | T | |
Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Wins | 67% | 75% | 71% | 25% | 100% | 57% |
Draws | 0% | 25% | 14% | 50% | 0% | 29% |
Loses | 33% | 0% | 14% | 25% | 0% | 14% |
Form: SC Freital: WLWWWWD • Plauen: WLWDWWD
League goals
Metric | SC Freital | Plauen | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
H | A | T | H | A | T | |
GF total | 6 | 12 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
GF avg | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.7 |
GA total | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
GA avg | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
Line | SC Freital | Plauen | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
For | Against | For | Against | |
0.5 | 100% | 43% | 86% | 71% |
1.5 | 86% | 29% | 57% | 0% |
2.5 | 43% | 0% | 14% | 0% |
3.5 | 14% | 0% | 14% | 0% |
4.5 | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
Metric | SC Freital | Plauen | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
H | A | T | H | A | T | |
Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
Metric | SC Freital | Plauen |
---|---|---|
Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
Metric | SC Freital | Plauen |
---|---|---|
Wins | 4 | 2 |
Draws | 0 | 1 |
Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
Metric | H | A | H | A |
---|---|---|---|---|
Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-5 | 4-0 | 0-2 |
Biggest losses | 1-2 | — | 0-1 | — |
Goals For | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 |
Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
Metric | SC Freital | Plauen |
---|---|---|
Form | 54% | 46% |
Att | 60% | 40% |
Def | 67% | 33% |
Poisson Distribution | 53% | 47% |
H2h | 36% | 64% |
Goals | 33% | 67% |
Total | 50.5% | 49.5% |
Advice: Double chance : SC Freital or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.09 @ Marathonbet
Draw3.86 @ Marathonbet
Away2.72 @ Superbet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.30 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.52.97 @ Marathonbet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.31 @ Marathonbet
No3.04 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): SC Freital = 0.81 (league 1.73), Plauen = 0.79 (league 1.78)
Plauen | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
SC Freital | 0 | 20.3% | 16.0% | 6.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
1 | 16.4% | 12.9% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
2 | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
3 | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
4 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.9% · Draw 35.4% · Away win 31.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1