Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 12:30 •
Stadio Citta di Gorgonzola
Expected Goals
1.50 (league 1.34)
0.60 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 58.6% | 26.1% | 14.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
18.4%
2 - 0
13.7%
0 - 0
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Lumezzane | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Giana Erminio | 0 | 12.3% | 7.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.4% | 11.1% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.7% | 8.3% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.8% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Giana Erminio | Lumezzane |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 40% |
| Attack | 50% | 83% |
| Defense | 0% | 17% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
72%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Giana Erminio | Lumezzane | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 33% | 0% | 14% | 25% | 33% | 29% |
| Draws | 0% | 75% | 43% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 67% | 25% | 43% | 75% | 67% | 71% |
Form: Giana Erminio: LDWDLLD • Lumezzane: LLLLWWL
League goals
| Metric | Giana Erminio | Lumezzane | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 6 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Giana Erminio | Lumezzane | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 43% | 71% | 71% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 14% | 43% | 29% | 57% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 14% | 0% | 29% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Giana Erminio | Lumezzane | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Giana Erminio | Lumezzane |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Giana Erminio | Lumezzane |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 2-0 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Giana Erminio | Lumezzane |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 45% | 55% |
| Att | 38% | 63% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 73% | 27% |
| H2h | 64% | 36% |
| Goals | 57% | 43% |
| Total | 53.7% | 46.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Giana Erminio or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Giana Erminio = 1.50 (league 1.34), Lumezzane = 0.60 (league 1.00)
| Lumezzane | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Giana Erminio | 0 | 12.3% | 7.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.4% | 11.1% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.7% | 8.3% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.8% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.6% · Draw 26.1% · Away win 14.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1