Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 13:00 • Hristo Botev
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.85 (league 1.40) 0.84 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.3% 34.1% 32.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
18.3%
1 - 0
15.6%
0 - 1
15.4%
Score & goals probability table
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pirin Blagoevgrad 0 18.3% 15.4% 6.5% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.6% 13.2% 5.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 6.7% 5.6% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.9% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPirin BlagoevgradChernomorets 1919 Burgas
Played55
Form40%53%
Attack40%30%
Defense60%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pirin Blagoevgrad Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
HATHAT
Played459459
Wins50%40%44%50%0%22%
Draws0%20%11%50%60%56%
Loses50%40%44%0%40%22%

Form: Pirin Blagoevgrad: DWLWWLLWL • Chernomorets 1919 Burgas: LDDDWDWLD

League goals

Metric Pirin Blagoevgrad Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
HATHAT
GF total41115639
GF avg1.02.21.71.50.61.0
GA total5712369
GA avg1.31.41.30.81.21.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePirin BlagoevgradChernomorets 1919 Burgas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%78%67%67%
1.533%44%22%33%
2.522%11%11%0%
3.511%0%0%0%
4.511%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPirin BlagoevgradChernomorets 1919 Burgas
HATHAT
Clean sheets112213
Failed to score101123

Penalties

MetricPirin BlagoevgradChernomorets 1919 Burgas
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricPirin BlagoevgradChernomorets 1919 Burgas
Wins21
Draws13
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-12-52-0—
Biggest losses1-32-1—2-0
Goals For2531
Goals Against3222

Model comparison

MetricPirin BlagoevgradChernomorets 1919 Burgas
Form43%57%
Att57%43%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total48.5%51.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Chernomorets 1919 Burgas

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.02 @ Betano
Draw3.24 @ Marathonbet
Away3.60 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.18 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.68 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.85 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pirin Blagoevgrad = 0.85 (league 1.40), Chernomorets 1919 Burgas = 0.84 (league 0.92)

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pirin Blagoevgrad 0 18.3% 15.4% 6.5% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.6% 13.2% 5.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 6.7% 5.6% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.9% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.3% · Draw 34.1% · Away win 32.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1