Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 15:30 •
Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini
Expected Goals
0.23 (league 1.33)
1.31 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 6.3% | 28.4% | 65.1% |
best score tips
0 - 1
28.2%
0 - 0
21.5%
0 - 2
18.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Lecco | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Virtus Verona | 0 | 21.5% | 28.2% | 18.5% | 8.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Virtus Verona | Lecco |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 87% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 17% | 83% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Virtus Verona | Lecco | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 0% | 67% | 29% | 75% | 67% | 71% |
| Draws | 75% | 0% | 43% | 25% | 33% | 29% |
| Loses | 25% | 33% | 29% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Virtus Verona: DLWLDWD • Lecco: WDWWWWD
League goals
| Metric | Virtus Verona | Lecco | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 5 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Virtus Verona | Lecco | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 86% | 86% | 43% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 29% | 43% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 14% | 29% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Virtus Verona | Lecco | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Virtus Verona | Lecco |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Virtus Verona | Lecco |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-3 | 3-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-2 | — | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Virtus Verona | Lecco |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 62% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 17% | 83% |
| Poisson Distribution | 20% | 80% |
| H2h | 64% | 36% |
| Goals | 56% | 44% |
| Total | 40.8% | 59.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Lecco and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Virtus Verona = 0.23 (league 1.33), Lecco = 1.31 (league 0.99)
| Lecco | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Virtus Verona | 0 | 21.5% | 28.2% | 18.5% | 8.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 6.3% · Draw 28.4% · Away win 65.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1