Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 16:30 •
Campo Diego Quiles
Expected Goals
1.07 (league 1.40)
2.10 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 18.4% | 20.4% | 59.0% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.9%
1 - 1
9.4%
0 - 2
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Navalcarnero | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Elche II | 0 | 4.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| 1 | 4.5% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 1.5% | |
| 2 | 2.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Elche II | Navalcarnero |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 42% | 50% |
| Attack | 21% | 43% |
| Defense | 71% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 1 | 7 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
83%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
79%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Elche II | Navalcarnero | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 0% | 50% | 25% | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| Draws | 50% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 50% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 100% | 50% |
Form: Elche II: DDLW • Navalcarnero: LWLW
League goals
| Metric | Elche II | Navalcarnero | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 7 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Elche II | Navalcarnero | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 75% | 100% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 25% | 50% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Elche II | Navalcarnero | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Elche II | Navalcarnero |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Elche II | Navalcarnero |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-1 | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | — | — | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Elche II | Navalcarnero |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 45% | 55% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 29% | 71% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 42.8% | 57.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Navalcarnero
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Elche II = 1.07 (league 1.40), Navalcarnero = 2.10 (league 1.07)
| Navalcarnero | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Elche II | 0 | 4.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| 1 | 4.5% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 1.5% | |
| 2 | 2.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.4% · Draw 20.4% · Away win 59.0%
Vtot 2 , Vtod1