Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 18:00 • Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.90 (league 1.11) 0.75 (league 0.85)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.9% 34.5% 28.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
19.2%
1 - 0
17.3%
0 - 1
14.4%
Score & goals probability table
Deportivo Laferrere
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brown DE Adrogue 0 19.2% 14.4% 5.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
1 17.3% 13.0% 4.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.8% 5.8% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.3% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBrown DE AdrogueDeportivo Laferrere
Played55
Form13%40%
Attack29%57%
Defense29%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Brown DE Adrogue Deportivo Laferrere
HATHAT
Played171734171734
Wins35%35%35%41%18%29%
Draws35%29%32%35%53%44%
Loses29%35%32%24%29%26%

Form: Brown DE Adrogue: WWLDWLDWLWDDLLDWDWDLDWLLWDWWWDDLLL • Deportivo Laferrere: LLLDDDWDDDWLDWDLWLWDDLWDLWDWWDDLDW

League goals

Metric Brown DE Adrogue Deportivo Laferrere
HATHAT
GF total171633241337
GF avg1.00.91.01.40.81.1
GA total141832161733
GA avg0.81.10.90.91.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBrown DE AdrogueDeportivo Laferrere
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%62%65%59%
1.521%24%35%32%
2.59%6%9%6%
3.53%3%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBrown DE AdrogueDeportivo Laferrere
HATHAT
Clean sheets76138614
Failed to score75124812

Penalties

MetricBrown DE AdrogueDeportivo Laferrere
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricBrown DE AdrogueDeportivo Laferrere
Wins32
Draws23
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-33-00-2
Biggest losses0-34-02-32-0
Goals For4333
Goals Against3432

Model comparison

MetricBrown DE AdrogueDeportivo Laferrere
Form25%75%
Att33%67%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h50%50%
Goals0%0%
Total40.0%60.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Deportivo Laferrere and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.30 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away3.60 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.88 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.44 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.38 @ Bet365
No1.62 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Brown DE Adrogue = 0.90 (league 1.11), Deportivo Laferrere = 0.75 (league 0.85)

Deportivo Laferrere
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brown DE Adrogue 0 19.2% 14.4% 5.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
1 17.3% 13.0% 4.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.8% 5.8% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.3% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.9% · Draw 34.5% · Away win 28.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1