Carioca - 2
— Brazil
Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 18:00 •
Estádio Mourão Filho
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.07)
0.88 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 42.4% | 30.0% | 27.4% |
best score tips
1 - 0
15.1%
1 - 1
13.3%
0 - 0
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Artsul | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Paduano | 0 | 13.0% | 11.4% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.1% | 13.3% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.8% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Paduano | Artsul |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 58% | 33% |
| Attack | 70% | 20% |
| Defense | 60% | 70% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.8 | 2 | 0.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
51%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Paduano | Artsul | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 25% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Loses | 50% | 0% | 25% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Form: Paduano: WDLW • Artsul: DLLW
League goals
| Metric | Paduano | Artsul | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| GF avg | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 |
| GA total | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Paduano | Artsul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 75% | 50% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 25% | 0% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Paduano | Artsul | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Paduano | Artsul |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Paduano | Artsul |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-2 | 1-2 | 1-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | — | 1-2 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Paduano | Artsul |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 78% | 22% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 61.7% | 38.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Paduano or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Paduano = 1.17 (league 1.07), Artsul = 0.88 (league 0.86)
| Artsul | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Paduano | 0 | 13.0% | 11.4% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.1% | 13.3% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.8% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.4% · Draw 30.0% · Away win 27.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1