Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 18:00 • Estadio Luis Alfonso Giagni
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.46 (league 1.29) 0.97 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.1% 26.4% 25.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.9%
1 - 1
12.5%
2 - 0
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Encarnación
0 1 2 3 4 5
SOL DE America 0 8.8% 8.5% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 12.9% 12.5% 6.0% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.4% 9.1% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.6% 4.4% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.7% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSOL DE AmericaEncarnación
Played55
Form67%33%
Attack47%32%
Defense84%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric SOL DE America Encarnación
HATHAT
Played141529151429
Wins29%27%28%40%14%28%
Draws50%27%38%47%29%38%
Loses21%47%34%13%57%34%

Form: SOL DE America: DDLWLDDWWDLDLLDDDLWLLWLDLWWDW • Encarnación: LDLDLWDWLDLLWDDWLWDWDWLDWLLDD

League goals

Metric SOL DE America Encarnación
HATHAT
GF total121931171532
GF avg0.91.31.11.11.11.1
GA total132134102939
GA avg0.91.41.20.72.11.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSOL DE AmericaEncarnación
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%69%72%72%
1.528%34%21%34%
2.57%10%14%21%
3.57%3%3%7%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSOL DE AmericaEncarnación
HATHAT
Clean sheets459808
Failed to score5611448

Penalties

MetricSOL DE AmericaEncarnación
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricSOL DE AmericaEncarnación
Wins21
Draws32
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-53-03-4
Biggest losses1-34-00-34-0
Goals For2534
Goals Against3434

Model comparison

MetricSOL DE AmericaEncarnación
Form67%33%
Att60%40%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h50%50%
Goals0%0%
Total62.0%38.0%

Advice: Double chance : SOL DE America or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.53 @ Bet365
Draw4.30 @ Betano
Away7.40 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ Betano
No1.85 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): SOL DE America = 1.46 (league 1.29), Encarnación = 0.97 (league 1.02)

Encarnación
0 1 2 3 4 5
SOL DE America 0 8.8% 8.5% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 12.9% 12.5% 6.0% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.4% 9.1% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.6% 4.4% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.7% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.1% · Draw 26.4% · Away win 25.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1