Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 18:30 • Municipal de Pilar-Carlos Barraza
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.62 (league 1.11) 0.75 (league 0.85)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.5% 24.7% 17.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.1%
2 - 0
12.2%
1 - 1
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Deportivo Merlo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Pilar 0 9.3% 7.0% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.1% 11.4% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.2% 9.2% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.6% 5.0% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.7% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricReal PilarDeportivo Merlo
Played55
Form87%27%
Attack86%71%
Defense86%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

58%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Real Pilar Deportivo Merlo
HATHAT
Played171734181735
Wins47%53%50%28%24%26%
Draws35%29%32%33%35%34%
Loses18%18%18%39%41%40%

Form: Real Pilar: WWWDLWDWDLDDWWLWDWWLDWDDWWDLLWDWWW • Deportivo Merlo: LLWDDDWWWLLWDLDWDDLWLWLDLDDLDLWLDLL

League goals

Metric Real Pilar Deportivo Merlo
HATHAT
GF total251641141428
GF avg1.50.91.20.80.80.8
GA total14923162137
GA avg0.80.50.70.91.21.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineReal PilarDeportivo Merlo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%50%54%69%
1.532%15%20%29%
2.59%3%6%9%
3.53%0%0%0%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricReal PilarDeportivo Merlo
HATHAT
Clean sheets710177411
Failed to score3699716

Penalties

MetricReal PilarDeportivo Merlo
Scored (total | %)8 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total81

Streaks

MetricReal PilarDeportivo Merlo
Wins33
Draws23
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-23-10-2
Biggest losses1-32-00-23-0
Goals For5232
Goals Against3223

Model comparison

MetricReal PilarDeportivo Merlo
Form76%24%
Att55%45%
Def88%13%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h64%36%
Goals75%25%
Total70.7%29.5%

Advice: Double chance : Real Pilar or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.81 @ 1xBet
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away5.50 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.88 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.48 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.75 @ Bet365
No1.52 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Real Pilar = 1.62 (league 1.11), Deportivo Merlo = 0.75 (league 0.85)

Deportivo Merlo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Pilar 0 9.3% 7.0% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.1% 11.4% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.2% 9.2% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.6% 5.0% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.7% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.5% · Draw 24.7% · Away win 17.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1