Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 20:15 • Estadio Municipal Unión de Tarma
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.43 (league 1.47) 1.41 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.4% 25.1% 36.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.8%
2 - 1
8.4%
1 - 0
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
Sporting Cristal
0 1 2 3 4 5
ADT 0 5.9% 8.3% 5.8% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
1 8.4% 11.8% 8.3% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4%
2 6.0% 8.4% 5.9% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
3 2.8% 4.0% 2.8% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricADTSporting Cristal
Played55
Form67%40%
Attack50%50%
Defense71%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric ADT Sporting Cristal
HATHAT
Played151429151429
Wins53%21%38%80%29%55%
Draws33%21%28%13%29%21%
Loses13%57%34%7%43%24%

Form: ADT: DWWDLWLDWWLDLLLDDWWLLWLDLWWWD • Sporting Cristal: DWWLLWLWLWWWLWLWDWWWWDWWDLDDW

League goals

Metric ADT Sporting Cristal
HATHAT
GF total231336351752
GF avg1.50.91.22.31.21.8
GA total162743111930
GA avg1.11.91.50.71.41.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineADTSporting Cristal
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%72%79%59%
1.534%48%55%31%
2.514%17%28%10%
3.53%7%10%3%
4.50%3%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricADTSporting Cristal
HATHAT
Clean sheets6288412
Failed to score358156

Penalties

MetricADTSporting Cristal
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%8 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total28

Streaks

MetricADTSporting Cristal
Wins34
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-25-01-4
Biggest losses0-35-01-24-1
Goals For4354
Goals Against3524

Model comparison

MetricADTSporting Cristal
Form63%38%
Att50%50%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h38%62%
Goals41%59%
Total49.7%50.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Sporting Cristal

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.30 @ William Hill
Draw3.35 @ 188Bet
Away3.67 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.82 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ Pinnacle
No1.97 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): ADT = 1.43 (league 1.47), Sporting Cristal = 1.41 (league 0.94)

Sporting Cristal
0 1 2 3 4 5
ADT 0 5.9% 8.3% 5.8% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
1 8.4% 11.8% 8.3% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4%
2 6.0% 8.4% 5.9% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
3 2.8% 4.0% 2.8% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.4% · Draw 25.1% · Away win 36.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1